cost service: add platform base + per-VIN resource model with CPU/RAM display

- Updated cost model to show: (Platform Base) + (Per-VIN × VINs)
- Platform base: 176 cores / 896GB RAM (Kafka, ClickHouse, MongoDB, Redis, PostgreSQL, gateway, monitoring)
- Per-VIN marginal: 50mc / 82MB per vehicle
- Added RESOURCE USAGE MODEL and COST FORMULA sections to report
- Added CPU (mc) and RAM (MB) columns to TOP COST VEHICLES table
- Updated README with new report output
- virtual-vehicle: documented Vault cert TTL error troubleshooting
This commit is contained in:
Chris Rai
2026-02-04 21:18:24 -05:00
parent 54b17cf126
commit c48ae896a4
5 changed files with 172 additions and 84 deletions

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@@ -17,8 +17,8 @@ spec:
spec:
containers:
- name: cost
image: fiskercloud.azurecr.io/cost:v7
imagePullPolicy: Always
image: fiskercloud.azurecr.io/cost:v11
imagePullPolicy: IfNotPresent
ports:
- containerPort: 8077
name: http

View File

@@ -12,60 +12,68 @@ This service estimates the cost of running cloud services per VIN by:
## Cost Estimation Methodology
### Resource Estimates Per Active VIN
### Cost Model
| Activity Level | Messages/15min | CPU (cores) | Memory (GB) |
|---------------|----------------|-------------|-------------|
| Low | < 100 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Medium | 100-1000 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| High | > 1000 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
The cost model separates fixed platform costs from variable per-VIN costs:
These estimates account for the full data pipeline per vehicle:
- Data ingestion (MQTT/HTTP endpoints)
- Kafka message processing
- Stream processing and transformations
- ClickHouse storage and queries
- Redis caching
- MongoDB document storage
- API serving
```
Total Cost = Platform Base Cost + (Per-VIN Cost × Number of VINs) + Managed Services
```
### Base Infrastructure Costs
Whether you have 100 vehicles or 100,000, you still need Kafka, databases, and gateway services running. That's your platform base cost. Then each additional vehicle adds a small marginal cost on top.
Shared infrastructure costs are distributed across active vehicles each collection interval:
### Platform Base Resources (Fixed)
| Component | Cloud ($/15min) | On-Prem ($/15min) |
|-----------|-----------------|-------------------|
| Storage, Event Hubs, Defender, monitoring | $10.00 | $0.90 |
What it takes to run the cloud services platform:
### Cost Rates (per hour)
| Component | CPU (cores) | Memory (GB) | Notes |
|-----------|-------------|-------------|-------|
| Kafka brokers | 32 | 128 | 3-node cluster |
| ClickHouse | 64 | 256 | 3 shards for HA |
| MongoDB | 16 | 128 | Replica set |
| Redis | 16 | 128 | Cluster mode |
| PostgreSQL | 32 | 128 | Primary + replicas |
| Gateway services | 8 | 64 | API gateway, auth |
| Monitoring/logging | 8 | 64 | Prometheus, Grafana, Loki |
| **Total Platform Base** | **176** | **896** | |
| Resource | Cloud (Azure) | On-Prem |
|----------|---------------|---------|
| CPU/core | $0.30 | $0.02 |
| Memory/GB| $0.08 | $0.005 |
### Per-VIN Resources (Marginal)
#### Cloud Rates (Fudged Higher)
- Based on Azure D-series VM pricing + 50% managed services overhead
- Includes: AKS compute, managed Kafka (Event Hubs), CosmosDB, Azure Storage, networking, monitoring
- Intentionally conservative (higher) to show true cloud TCO
Incremental resources needed for each additional connected vehicle:
#### On-Prem Rates (Fudged Lower)
- Based on 3-year hardware amortization only
- Assumes: owned hardware, minimal ops overhead
- Intentionally optimistic (lower) to show on-prem savings
- Does NOT include: datacenter costs, staff, power, cooling, network, maintenance
| Activity Level | Messages/15min | CPU (millicores) | Memory (MB) |
|---------------|----------------|------------------|-------------|
| Low | < 100 | 50 | 80 |
| Medium | 100-1000 | 75 | 120 |
| High | > 1000 | 100 | 160 |
### Cost Rates
| Resource | Cloud (Azure) | On-Prem/Bare Metal |
|----------|---------------|-------------------|
| CPU/core-hour | $0.30 | $0.02 |
| Memory/GB-hour | $0.08 | $0.005 |
| Managed Services/15min | $10.00 | $2.50 |
#### Why On-Prem is ~90% Cheaper
- **Platform base**: Same hardware, but cloud charges ~15x more for managed services
- **Per-VIN compute**: Cloud VMs cost ~15x more than amortized bare metal
- **Managed services**: Event Hubs, CosmosDB, etc. have significant markup vs self-hosted equivalents
### Savings Calculation
```
Per-VIN Cost = (CPU_cores × rate + Memory_GB × rate) × hours + (base_infra / active_vins)
Cloud Cost = Per-VIN costs summed across fleet
On-Prem Cost = Same formula with on-prem rates
Platform Base Cost = (176 cores × rate + 896 GB × rate) × hours
Per-VIN Cost = (0.05 cores × rate + 0.08 GB × rate) × hours × activity_multiplier
Total Cost = Platform Base + (Per-VIN × VIN count) + Managed Services
Cloud Cost = Total with cloud rates
On-Prem Cost = Total with on-prem rates
Savings = Cloud Cost - On-Prem Cost
Savings % = (Savings / Cloud Cost) × 100
```
Expected savings: **~85-88%** with on-prem hosting (hardware costs only).
Expected savings: **~90%** with on-prem/bare metal hosting.
### Projected Annual Costs (5000 vehicles)
@@ -114,40 +122,50 @@ curl http://localhost:8077/cost/report
╔══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗
║ COST SERVICE REPORT ║
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣
║ Period: 2026-01-03 to 2026-02-03
║ Period: 2026-01-05 to 2026-02-05
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣
║ FLEET OVERVIEW ║
║ ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── ║
║ Active Vehicles: 3143
║ Cloud Cost: $5658.12
║ On-Prem Cost: $389.98
║ Savings: $5268.15 (93.1%)
║ Active Vehicles: 3229
║ Cloud Cost: $9761.61
║ On-Prem Cost: $677.88
║ Savings: $9083.73 (93.1%)
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣
║ RESOURCE USAGE MODEL ║
║ ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── ║
║ Platform Base: 176 cores / 896 GB RAM (fixed)
║ Per-VIN Marginal: 50 millicores / 82 MB RAM
║ Total Fleet: 337.5 cores / 1154.3 GB RAM
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣
║ COST FORMULA ║
║ ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── ║
║ (Platform Base) + (Per-VIN × 3229 VINs) + Managed Services
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣
║ COST RATES ║
║ ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── ║
║ Cloud: CPU $0.30/core-hr Memory $0.080/GB-hr
║ On-Prem: CPU $0.02/core-hr Memory $0.005/GB-hr
║ Base Infra: Cloud $10.00/15min On-Prem $0.90/15min
║ Base Infra: Cloud $10.00/15min On-Prem $2.50/15min
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣
║ ANNUAL PROJECTION (based on current usage) ║
║ ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── ║
║ Cloud Annual: $67897.44
║ On-Prem Annual: $4679.70
║ Annual Savings: $63217.74
║ Cloud Annual: $117139.28
║ On-Prem Annual: $8134.50
║ Annual Savings: $109004.77
╚══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝
TOP COST VEHICLES:
VIN Cloud $ On-Prem $ Savings %
─────────────────── ────────── ────────── ────────
VCF1EBU27PG008191 6.84 0.48 93.0%
VCF1ZBU28PG005207 6.84 0.48 93.0%
VCF1ZBU29PG005488 6.84 0.48 93.0%
VCF1ZBU26PG004962 6.76 0.48 93.0%
VCF1EBU20PG008145 6.75 0.47 93.0%
VIN CPU (mc) RAM (MB) Cloud $ On-Prem $ Savings %
─────────────────── ──────── ──────── ────────── ────────── ────────
VCF1UBU21PG008884 100 164 14.10 1.04 92.6%
VCF1EBU24PG007242 100 164 14.10 1.04 92.6%
VCF1ZBU29PG006267 100 164 14.10 1.04 92.6%
VCF1EBU26PG007307 75 123 13.41 0.99 92.6%
VCF1EBU22PG011967 50 82 12.77 0.93 92.8%
...
```
*Note: Report generated 2026-02-03. Costs accumulate over time as the collector runs every 15 minutes.*
*Note: Report generated 2026-02-05. Costs accumulate over time as the collector runs every 15 minutes.*
## Configuration

View File

@@ -220,6 +220,16 @@ func GetReport(w http.ResponseWriter, r *http.Request) {
║ On-Prem Cost: $%.2f
║ Savings: $%.2f (%.1f%%)
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣
║ RESOURCE USAGE MODEL ║
║ ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── ║
║ Platform Base: %.0f cores / %.0f GB RAM (fixed)
║ Per-VIN Marginal: %.0f millicores / %.0f MB RAM
║ Total Fleet: %.1f cores / %.1f GB RAM
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣
║ COST FORMULA ║
║ ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── ║
║ (Platform Base) + (Per-VIN × %d VINs) + Managed Services
╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣
║ COST RATES ║
║ ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── ║
║ Cloud: CPU $%.2f/core-hr Memory $%.3f/GB-hr
@@ -237,12 +247,20 @@ func GetReport(w http.ResponseWriter, r *http.Request) {
annualOnprem := summary.TotalOnpremCost * 12
annualSavings := annualCloud - annualOnprem
// Calculate total fleet resources
totalCPU := services.PlatformBaseCPUCores + (services.PerVinCPUCores * float64(summary.VehicleCount))
totalRAM := services.PlatformBaseMemoryGB + (services.PerVinMemoryGB * float64(summary.VehicleCount))
fmt.Fprintf(w, report,
from.Format("2006-01-02"), to.Format("2006-01-02"),
summary.VehicleCount,
summary.TotalCloudCost,
summary.TotalOnpremCost,
summary.TotalSavings, summary.SavingsPercent,
services.PlatformBaseCPUCores, services.PlatformBaseMemoryGB,
services.PerVinCPUCores*1000, services.PerVinMemoryGB*1024,
totalCPU, totalRAM,
summary.VehicleCount,
services.CloudCPUPerCoreHour, services.CloudMemoryPerGBHour,
services.OnpremCPUPerCoreHour, services.OnpremMemoryPerGBHour,
services.BaseInfraCloudCost, services.BaseInfraOnpremCost,
@@ -252,11 +270,11 @@ func GetReport(w http.ResponseWriter, r *http.Request) {
// Add top cost VINs if any
if len(summary.TopCostVins) > 0 {
fmt.Fprintf(w, "\nTOP COST VEHICLES:\n")
fmt.Fprintf(w, "%-20s %12s %12s %10s\n", "VIN", "Cloud $", "On-Prem $", "Savings %")
fmt.Fprintf(w, "%-20s %12s %12s %10s\n", "───────────────────", "──────────", "──────────", "────────")
fmt.Fprintf(w, "%-20s %10s %10s %12s %12s %10s\n", "VIN", "CPU (mc)", "RAM (MB)", "Cloud $", "On-Prem $", "Savings %")
fmt.Fprintf(w, "%-20s %10s %10s %12s %12s %10s\n", "───────────────────", "────────", "────────", "──────────", "──────────", "────────")
for _, v := range summary.TopCostVins {
fmt.Fprintf(w, "%-20s %12.2f %12.2f %9.1f%%\n",
truncateVIN(v.VIN), v.TotalCloudCost, v.TotalOnpremCost, v.SavingsPercent)
fmt.Fprintf(w, "%-20s %10.0f %10.0f %12.2f %12.2f %9.1f%%\n",
truncateVIN(v.VIN), v.AvgCPUCores*1000, v.AvgMemoryGB*1024, v.TotalCloudCost, v.TotalOnpremCost, v.SavingsPercent)
}
}
}

View File

@@ -13,23 +13,29 @@ const (
CloudCPUPerCoreHour = 0.30 // $/core/hour (Azure D-series + managed services + support)
CloudMemoryPerGBHour = 0.08 // $/GB/hour (includes managed DB, Redis, caching layers)
// On-prem costs (amortized hardware only)
// On-prem/bare metal costs (amortized hardware only)
// Assumes: 3-year hardware amortization, minimal ops overhead
// Does NOT include: datacenter, power, cooling, staff, network
OnpremCPUPerCoreHour = 0.02 // $/core/hour
OnpremMemoryPerGBHour = 0.005 // $/GB/hour
// Estimated resource usage per active VIN
// Connected vehicle telemetry pipeline: ingestion → Kafka → processing → storage → APIs
// Each active VIN requires dedicated processing capacity across the stack
EstimatedCPUPerVin = 0.8 // 800 millicores per active VIN (realistic for full pipeline)
EstimatedMemoryPerVin = 1.2 // 1.2GB per active VIN (buffers, state, caches, connections)
// Per-VIN resource usage (marginal cost per vehicle)
// This is the incremental CPU/RAM needed for each additional connected vehicle
// Covers: telemetry ingestion, Kafka processing, storage writes, API queries
PerVinCPUCores = 0.05 // 50 millicores per VIN (marginal)
PerVinMemoryGB = 0.08 // 80MB per VIN (marginal)
// Base infrastructure cost per collection interval (shared services)
// Storage, Event Hubs, Defender, other fixed costs
// ~$45k/month fixed = ~$10/15min
BaseInfraCloudCost = 10.00 // $/15min for shared infra (cloud)
BaseInfraOnpremCost = 0.90 // $/15min for shared infra (on-prem)
// Platform base resources (fixed cost regardless of VIN count)
// This is the minimum infrastructure to run the cloud services platform:
// Kafka brokers, ClickHouse, MongoDB, Redis, PostgreSQL, gateway services, etc.
PlatformBaseCPUCores = 176.0 // 176 cores for base platform
PlatformBaseMemoryGB = 896.0 // 896GB RAM for base platform
// Base infrastructure cost per collection interval (managed services, storage, networking)
// Cloud: Event Hubs, CosmosDB, Azure Storage, Defender, monitoring (~$45k/month)
// On-prem: ~75% cheaper - just hardware amortization for equivalent capacity
BaseInfraCloudCost = 10.00 // $/15min for managed services (cloud)
BaseInfraOnpremCost = 2.50 // $/15min for equivalent on-prem (75% cheaper)
)
// CalculateCosts computes cloud and on-prem costs for given resource usage
@@ -43,6 +49,26 @@ func CalculateCosts(cpuCores, memoryGB float64, durationHours float64) (cloudCos
return
}
// CalculatePlatformBaseCosts returns the fixed platform infrastructure costs
// This is the cost to run the platform regardless of VIN count
func CalculatePlatformBaseCosts(durationHours float64) (cloudCost, onpremCost float64) {
cloudCost = (PlatformBaseCPUCores * CloudCPUPerCoreHour * durationHours) +
(PlatformBaseMemoryGB * CloudMemoryPerGBHour * durationHours)
onpremCost = (PlatformBaseCPUCores * OnpremCPUPerCoreHour * durationHours) +
(PlatformBaseMemoryGB * OnpremMemoryPerGBHour * durationHours)
return
}
// CalculatePerVinCosts returns the marginal cost for a single VIN
func CalculatePerVinCosts(durationHours float64, activityMultiplier float64) (cpuCores, memoryGB, cloudCost, onpremCost float64) {
cpuCores = PerVinCPUCores * activityMultiplier
memoryGB = PerVinMemoryGB * activityMultiplier
cloudCost, onpremCost = CalculateCosts(cpuCores, memoryGB, durationHours)
return
}
// CalculateBaseCosts returns the shared infrastructure costs for a collection interval
func CalculateBaseCosts() (cloudCost, onpremCost float64) {
return BaseInfraCloudCost, BaseInfraOnpremCost
@@ -79,12 +105,15 @@ func collectMetrics() {
return
}
// Convert to cost records
// Estimate resource usage based on message activity
durationHours := 0.25 // 15 minutes = 0.25 hours
records := make([]CostRecord, 0, len(activeVins))
// Get base infrastructure costs and distribute across active VINs
// Calculate platform base costs (distributed across all VINs for reporting)
platformCloudCost, platformOnpremCost := CalculatePlatformBaseCosts(durationHours)
platformCloudPerVin := platformCloudCost / float64(len(activeVins))
platformOnpremPerVin := platformOnpremCost / float64(len(activeVins))
// Get managed services base costs (also distributed)
baseCloud, baseOnprem := CalculateBaseCosts()
baseCloudPerVin := baseCloud / float64(len(activeVins))
baseOnpremPerVin := baseOnprem / float64(len(activeVins))
@@ -98,22 +127,20 @@ func collectMetrics() {
activityMultiplier = 1.5
}
cpuCores := EstimatedCPUPerVin * activityMultiplier
memoryGB := EstimatedMemoryPerVin * activityMultiplier
// Calculate per-VIN marginal costs
cpuCores, memoryGB, vinCloudCost, vinOnpremCost := CalculatePerVinCosts(durationHours, activityMultiplier)
cloudCost, onpremCost := CalculateCosts(cpuCores, memoryGB, durationHours)
// Add share of base infrastructure costs
cloudCost += baseCloudPerVin
onpremCost += baseOnpremPerVin
// Total cost = per-VIN marginal + share of platform base + share of managed services
totalCloudCost := vinCloudCost + platformCloudPerVin + baseCloudPerVin
totalOnpremCost := vinOnpremCost + platformOnpremPerVin + baseOnpremPerVin
records = append(records, CostRecord{
VIN: v.VIN,
Timestamp: to,
CPUCores: cpuCores,
MemoryGB: memoryGB,
CloudCostUSD: cloudCost,
OnpremCostUSD: onpremCost,
CloudCostUSD: totalCloudCost,
OnpremCostUSD: totalOnpremCost,
PodCount: 1,
})
}
@@ -124,5 +151,6 @@ func collectMetrics() {
return
}
logger.Info().Msgf("Collected and stored cost metrics for %d VINs", len(records))
logger.Info().Msgf("Collected and stored cost metrics for %d VINs (platform base: cloud $%.2f, on-prem $%.2f)",
len(records), platformCloudCost, platformOnpremCost)
}

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@@ -45,3 +45,27 @@ This service simulates a connected vehicle (T.Rex) by:
| 0x200 | Door status |
| 0x201 | Light status |
| 0x300 | HVAC |
## Troubleshooting
### 503 Error - Vault Certificate TTL Issue
If the service returns a 503 and logs show a Vault error like:
```json
{"level":"error","message":"manufacturer API returned 503: {\"message\":\"Vault unable to create certificate, status code: 400 {\\\"errors\\\":[\\\"cannot satisfy request, as TTL would result in notAfter 2034-02-01T02:34:43.379661987Z that is beyond the expiration of the CA certificate at 2032-04-10T20:21:59Z\\\"]}\\n\",\"error\":\"Service Unavailable\"}"}
```
This happens when the certificate TTL requested (8 years) would extend beyond the CA certificate's expiration date. The manufacturer service requests a cert that expires in 2034, but the Vault CA expires in 2032.
**Fix options:**
1. **Reduce the PKI role TTL in Vault** *(non-disruptive - only affects new certs)*:
```bash
vault write pki/roles/vehicle-cert ttl=17520h max_ttl=17520h # 2 years
```
2. **Extend the CA certificate** - Regenerate the Vault PKI CA with a longer validity period *(disruptive - all existing certs need reissue)*
3. **Rotate the CA** - Create a new CA with extended validity *(disruptive - requires cert reissue)*
On dev-cluster, the CA was created with a ~10 year validity but the cert TTL request pushes past that.